I seem to have hit a plateau in my poker play. It's because I STILL think people are bluffing when they aren't. Mostly I'm calling into straights instead of folding.
I still see bluffers everywhere. "They're EVERYWHERE, they're EVERYWHERE!"
Calling all-in to flushes, well I seem to have finally quit that after SWEARING I'd never do it again.
Tonight I had a little insight.
People bluff when everyone else looks weak. When they check-around or bet small amounts.
When people RAISE big after you've been betting heavily against them, it's probably not a bluff. They know you have something. The odds of them successfully bluffing you when YOU'VE got cards is low.
It would take a pretty confident bluffer to do that more than once.
So I think the thing for me, at least, is to fold in the face of big fat raises UNLESS everyone still in the hand has send signals of weakness.
Sunday, January 13, 2008
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